{"version":1,"type":"rich","provider_name":"Libsyn","provider_url":"https:\/\/www.libsyn.com","height":90,"width":600,"title":"How Long Will Starmer Remain Prime Minister?","description":"Part 1: UK-based political bettors William Kedjanyi, Paul Krishnamurty, and Pip Moss debate how long &amp;nbsp;Starmer can last as prime minister. Part 2: Chougule announces Polymarket sponsorship of DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets meetup. Timestamps 0:00: Chougule introduces UK segment 0:39: Polymarket markets on UK politics 1:35: Intro ends 3:36: UK segment begins 6:02: What has gone wrong for Starmer? 11:10: Starmer's communication problem 11:31: Perceptions of Starmer as a liar 11:41: Starmer is hated 17:40: Free speech 24:36: Market odds on Starmer's departure 25:23: Policy challenges 26:46: Housing 28:10: Local elections 32:50: Policy decisions 37:12: Immigration 39:30: Process After May Elections 42:14: May election odds 52:27: How Labour would remove Starmer 54:29: Blair-Brown rivalry 56:06: Trade unions 56:26: Soft left faction 1:05:52: Starmer U-turns 1:07:51: Challengers to Starmers 1:09:15: Reaction to Labour losses in May elections 1:12:30: UK segment ends 1:12:45: DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter\/X @ssgamblers&amp;nbsp; Bet on UK politics at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. The next DC Forecasting &amp;amp; Prediction Markets Meetup will be on Thursday, January 29 from 6:00 PM - 9:00 PM at The Flying Mexican in Washington DC. \u200b All 2026 DC meetups are sponsored by Polymarket! \u200b Polymarket is the world\u2019s largest prediction market, allowing you to stay informed on future events across various topics. Polymarket's markets reflect accurate, unbiased, and real-time probabilities for the events that matter most to you. Markets seek truth. Learn more at Polymarket.com. \u200b Thanks to Polymarket, food and drinks will be provided to all attendees of this month's meetup. Open to all ages. \u200b Last-minute\/onsite walk-in RSVPs here on this Luma event page are welcomed! https:\/\/luma.com\/dld19288?tk=XIracE \u200b Who are we? We are prediction market traders on prediction markets like Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, and Kalshi, forecasters (e.g. on Metaculus and Good Judgment Open), sports bettors (e.g. on FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), consumers of forecasting (or related) content (e.g. Star Spangled Gamblers, Nate Silver\u2019s Silver Bulletin, Scott Alexander\u2019s Astral Codex Ten), effective altruists, rationalists, futurists, and data scientists. \u200b This meetup is hosted by the Forecasting Meetup Network. Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https:\/\/bit.ly\/forecastingmeetupnetwork \u200b Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups:&amp;nbsp;https:\/\/discord.com\/invite\/hFn3yukSwv ","author_name":"Star Spangled Gamblers","author_url":"http:\/\/www.starspangledgamblers.com","html":"<iframe title=\"Libsyn Player\" style=\"border: none\" src=\"\/\/html5-player.libsyn.com\/embed\/episode\/id\/39917510\/height\/90\/theme\/custom\/thumbnail\/yes\/direction\/forward\/render-playlist\/no\/custom-color\/88AA3C\/\" height=\"90\" width=\"600\" scrolling=\"no\"  allowfullscreen webkitallowfullscreen mozallowfullscreen oallowfullscreen msallowfullscreen><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/assets.libsyn.com\/secure\/item\/39917510"}