{"version":1,"type":"rich","provider_name":"Libsyn","provider_url":"https:\/\/www.libsyn.com","height":90,"width":600,"title":"Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials","description":"Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seasoned national security professionals often misjudge uncertainty. This overview of his latest TNSR article,  &quot;The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials,&quot; covers how minor training can improve decision-making accuracy and highlights the importance of structured feedback and better calibration in national security judgments.&amp;nbsp; ","author_name":"Horns of a Dilemma","author_url":"https:\/\/tnsr.org\/","html":"<iframe title=\"Libsyn Player\" style=\"border: none\" src=\"\/\/html5-player.libsyn.com\/embed\/episode\/id\/38330915\/height\/90\/theme\/custom\/thumbnail\/yes\/direction\/forward\/render-playlist\/no\/custom-color\/88AA3C\/\" height=\"90\" width=\"600\" scrolling=\"no\"  allowfullscreen webkitallowfullscreen mozallowfullscreen oallowfullscreen msallowfullscreen><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/assets.libsyn.com\/secure\/content\/193944635"}