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Mag 7 Valuation Gap Closes | Netscape Redux? | 32 NHL Team ETFs? | VIX Seasonality Setup
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to talk about how valuations of the top stocks now have shrunk to those of the overall market, while tech and other Mag7 stocks valuations have come down while earnings expectations are up. Plus, record short positioning in Nasdaq-100 futures, gold fund flows picking back up, VIX seasonality heading into the autumn, and a filing for 32 NHL team ETFs. All that and more this week.     The forward P/E of the largest 10 S&P 500 companies has converged with the other 490. J.P. Morgan data shows the top 10 near 19.8x versus 19.3x for the rest of the index. The S&P 500 sits around 19.6x forward earnings versus a 16.9x long-run average. Does a narrower valuation gap mean the market is finally broadening out? Ben Carlson notes the tech sector is up about 65% since the start of 2025. Tech's forward P/E still fell from 29x to 22x over that same stretch. Macro Charts flags the biggest Nasdaq short position since 2020 Asset managers and hedge funds are both leaning short Nasdaq-100 futures. What record short positioning could mean if anything Bespoke compares the Nasdaq after Netscape launched to the run since ChatGPT launched. The post-Netscape Nasdaq peaked up 592% on March 10, 2000. Goldman Sachs data shows four-week flows into gold funds picking up again. Central bank buying and returning retail ETF demand are supporting gold. Topdown Charts shows the VIX seasonally rising from late July into the autumn. Eric Balchunas highlights a filing for 32 NHL team ETFs from Volatility Shares.   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com    
Broken Pie Chart
http://www.razorwealth.com
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