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  <title>Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials</title>
  <description>Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seasoned national security professionals often misjudge uncertainty. This overview of his latest TNSR article,  &amp;quot;The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials,&amp;quot; covers how minor training can improve decision-making accuracy and highlights the importance of structured feedback and better calibration in national security judgments.&amp;amp;nbsp; </description>
  <author_name>Horns of a Dilemma</author_name>
  <author_url>https://tnsr.org/</author_url>
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